Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: META

META implied volatility is at 39.78%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

META is trading at $555.01 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 39.78%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$555.01

39.78%

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 39.78% × √(7/365) ≈ 5.51%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$30.58.

The market expects META to stay within ±5.51% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±5.51%

Exp. Move $

±$30.58

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$524.43 — $585.58

80% Confidence

$515.82 — $594.19

90% Confidence

$504.71 — $605.30

95% Confidence

$495.08 — $614.93

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.