Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: META

META implied volatility is at 75.67%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

META is trading at $595.04 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 75.67%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$595.04

IV

75.67%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 75.67% × √(7/365) ≈ 10.48%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$62.36.

The market expects META to stay within ±10.48% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±10.48%

Exp. Move $

±$62.36

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$532.68 — $657.39

80% Confidence

$515.12 — $674.95

90% Confidence

$492.47 — $697.61

95% Confidence

$472.82 — $717.25

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 75.67% implies a ±10.48% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $532.68 to $657.39.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.