Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 19.57%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $32.20 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 19.57%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$32.20

IV

19.57%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 19.57% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.71%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$0.87.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±2.71% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±2.71%

Exp. Move $

±$0.87

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$31.33 — $33.07

80% Confidence

$31.08 — $33.32

90% Confidence

$30.76 — $33.64

95% Confidence

$30.49 — $33.91

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 19.57% implies a ±2.71% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $31.33 to $33.07.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.