Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 21.88%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $32.88 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 21.88%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$32.88

IV

21.88%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 21.88% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.03%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$1.00.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±3.03% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.03%

Exp. Move $

±$1.00

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$31.88 — $33.87

80% Confidence

$31.60 — $34.15

90% Confidence

$31.24 — $34.51

95% Confidence

$30.92 — $34.83

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 21.88% implies a ±3.03% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $31.88 to $33.87.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.