Volatility Analysis
Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI
KMI implied volatility is at 19.57%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.
Market Context
KMI is trading at $32.20 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 19.57%.
With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.
Analysis Date
Jul 31, 2026
Target Date
Aug 7, 2026
Price
$32.20
IV
19.57%
Volatility Math (7 Days)
To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.
Formula: 19.57% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.71%.
In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$0.87.
Time Factor
0.1385
Exp. Move %
±2.71%
Exp. Move $
±$0.87
Probability Cone
The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.
68% Confidence
$31.33 — $33.07
80% Confidence
$31.08 — $33.32
90% Confidence
$30.76 — $33.64
95% Confidence
$30.49 — $33.91
Disclaimer
This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.
Key takeaways
- Current IV of 19.57% implies a ±2.71% move in 7 days.
- The 68% confidence interval is $31.33 to $33.07.
- Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.