Volatility Analysis
Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC
INTC implied volatility is at 89.93%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.
Market Context
INTC is trading at $89.19 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 89.93%.
With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.
Analysis Date
Jul 31, 2026
Target Date
Aug 7, 2026
Price
$89.19
IV
89.93%
Volatility Math (7 Days)
To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.
Formula: 89.93% × √(7/365) ≈ 12.45%.
In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$11.10.
Time Factor
0.1385
Exp. Move %
±12.45%
Exp. Move $
±$11.10
Probability Cone
The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.
68% Confidence
$78.08 — $100.29
80% Confidence
$74.95 — $103.42
90% Confidence
$70.92 — $107.46
95% Confidence
$67.42 — $110.96
Disclaimer
This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.
Key takeaways
- Current IV of 89.93% implies a ±12.45% move in 7 days.
- The 68% confidence interval is $78.08 to $100.29.
- Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.