Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 91.57%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $91.83 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 91.57%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$91.83

IV

91.57%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 91.57% × √(7/365) ≈ 12.68%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$11.64.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±12.68% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±12.68%

Exp. Move $

±$11.64

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$80.18 — $103.47

80% Confidence

$76.90 — $106.75

90% Confidence

$72.67 — $110.98

95% Confidence

$69.00 — $114.65

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 91.57% implies a ±12.68% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $80.18 to $103.47.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.