Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 89.93%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $89.19 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 89.93%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$89.19

IV

89.93%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 89.93% × √(7/365) ≈ 12.45%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$11.10.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±12.45% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±12.45%

Exp. Move $

±$11.10

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$78.08 — $100.29

80% Confidence

$74.95 — $103.42

90% Confidence

$70.92 — $107.46

95% Confidence

$67.42 — $110.96

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 89.93% implies a ±12.45% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $78.08 to $100.29.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.