Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: BA

BA implied volatility is at 33.59%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

BA is trading at $215.75 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 33.59%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$215.75

33.59%

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 33.59% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.65%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$10.03.

The market expects BA to stay within ±4.65% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.65%

Exp. Move $

±$10.03

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$205.71 — $225.79

80% Confidence

$202.89 — $228.61

90% Confidence

$199.24 — $232.26

95% Confidence

$196.08 — $235.42

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.