Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: BA

BA implied volatility is at 54.28%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

BA is trading at $209.55 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 54.28%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$209.55

IV

54.28%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 54.28% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.52%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$15.76.

The market expects BA to stay within ±7.52% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.52%

Exp. Move $

±$15.76

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$193.80 — $225.30

80% Confidence

$189.36 — $229.74

90% Confidence

$183.64 — $235.46

95% Confidence

$178.68 — $240.42

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 54.28% implies a ±7.52% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $193.80 to $225.30.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.