Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: RKLB

RKLB implied volatility is at 90.43%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

RKLB is trading at $64.16 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 90.43%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$64.16

90.43%

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 90.43% × √(7/365) ≈ 12.52%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$8.03.

The market expects RKLB to stay within ±12.52% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±12.52%

Exp. Move $

±$8.03

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$56.13 — $72.19

80% Confidence

$53.86 — $74.46

90% Confidence

$50.94 — $77.38

95% Confidence

$48.41 — $79.91

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.