Volatility Analysis
Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR
PLTR implied volatility is at 103.00%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.
Market Context
PLTR is trading at $122.65 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 103.00%.
With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.
Analysis Date
Jul 31, 2026
Target Date
Aug 7, 2026
Price
$122.65
IV
103.00%
Volatility Math (7 Days)
To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.
Formula: 103.00% × √(7/365) ≈ 14.26%.
In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$17.49.
Time Factor
0.1385
Exp. Move %
±14.26%
Exp. Move $
±$17.49
Probability Cone
The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.
68% Confidence
$105.15 — $140.15
80% Confidence
$100.23 — $145.07
90% Confidence
$93.87 — $151.43
95% Confidence
$88.36 — $156.94
Disclaimer
This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.
Key takeaways
- Current IV of 103.00% implies a ±14.26% move in 7 days.
- The 68% confidence interval is $105.15 to $140.15.
- Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.