Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: ORCL

ORCL implied volatility is at 62.71%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

ORCL is trading at $129.09 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 62.71%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$129.09

62.71%

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 62.71% × √(7/365) ≈ 8.69%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$11.22.

The market expects ORCL to stay within ±8.69% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±8.69%

Exp. Move $

±$11.22

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$117.88 — $140.30

80% Confidence

$114.72 — $143.46

90% Confidence

$110.65 — $147.53

95% Confidence

$107.12 — $151.06

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.