Volatility Analysis
Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU
MU implied volatility is at 104.41%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.
Market Context
MU is trading at $813.75 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 104.41%.
With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.
Analysis Date
Jul 31, 2026
Target Date
Aug 7, 2026
Price
$813.75
IV
104.41%
Volatility Math (7 Days)
To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.
Formula: 104.41% × √(7/365) ≈ 14.46%.
In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$117.67.
Time Factor
0.1385
Exp. Move %
±14.46%
Exp. Move $
±$117.67
Probability Cone
The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.
68% Confidence
$696.09 — $931.42
80% Confidence
$662.96 — $964.55
90% Confidence
$620.21 — $1007.30
95% Confidence
$583.14 — $1044.37
Disclaimer
This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.
Key takeaways
- Current IV of 104.41% implies a ±14.46% move in 7 days.
- The 68% confidence interval is $696.09 to $931.42.
- Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.