Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KO

KO implied volatility is at 21.45%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KO is trading at $87.72 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 21.45%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$87.72

IV

21.45%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 21.45% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.97%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$2.61.

The market expects KO to stay within ±2.97% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±2.97%

Exp. Move $

±$2.61

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$85.11 — $90.33

80% Confidence

$84.38 — $91.06

90% Confidence

$83.43 — $92.01

95% Confidence

$82.61 — $92.83

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 21.45% implies a ±2.97% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $85.11 to $90.33.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.