Volatility Analysis
Weekly Volatility Outlook: KO
KO implied volatility is at 21.45%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.
Market Context
KO is trading at $87.72 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 21.45%.
With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.
Analysis Date
Jul 31, 2026
Target Date
Aug 7, 2026
Price
$87.72
IV
21.45%
Volatility Math (7 Days)
To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.
Formula: 21.45% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.97%.
In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$2.61.
Time Factor
0.1385
Exp. Move %
±2.97%
Exp. Move $
±$2.61
Probability Cone
The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.
68% Confidence
$85.11 — $90.33
80% Confidence
$84.38 — $91.06
90% Confidence
$83.43 — $92.01
95% Confidence
$82.61 — $92.83
Disclaimer
This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.
Key takeaways
- Current IV of 21.45% implies a ±2.97% move in 7 days.
- The 68% confidence interval is $85.11 to $90.33.
- Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.