Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 32.64%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $353.42 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 32.64%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$353.42

IV

32.64%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 32.64% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.52%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$15.97.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±4.52% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.52%

Exp. Move $

±$15.97

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$337.44 — $369.40

80% Confidence

$332.95 — $373.89

90% Confidence

$327.14 — $379.70

95% Confidence

$322.11 — $384.73

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 32.64% implies a ±4.52% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $337.44 to $369.40.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.