Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: C

C implied volatility is at 29.21%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

C is trading at $132.65 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 29.21%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$132.65

29.21%

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 29.21% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.04%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$5.36.

The market expects C to stay within ±4.04% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.04%

Exp. Move $

±$5.36

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$127.29 — $138.01

80% Confidence

$125.77 — $139.53

90% Confidence

$123.83 — $141.47

95% Confidence

$122.13 — $143.17

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.