Volatility Analysis
Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO
AVGO implied volatility is at 50.41%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.
Market Context
AVGO is trading at $387.10 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 50.41%.
With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.
Analysis Date
Jul 31, 2026
Target Date
Aug 7, 2026
Price
$387.10
IV
50.41%
Volatility Math (7 Days)
To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.
Formula: 50.41% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.98%.
In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$27.02.
Time Factor
0.1385
Exp. Move %
±6.98%
Exp. Move $
±$27.02
Probability Cone
The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.
68% Confidence
$360.07 — $414.13
80% Confidence
$352.46 — $421.74
90% Confidence
$342.64 — $431.56
95% Confidence
$334.13 — $440.07
Disclaimer
This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.
Key takeaways
- Current IV of 50.41% implies a ±6.98% move in 7 days.
- The 68% confidence interval is $360.07 to $414.13.
- Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.