Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO

AVGO implied volatility is at 50.41%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AVGO is trading at $387.10 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 50.41%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$387.10

IV

50.41%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 50.41% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.98%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$27.02.

The market expects AVGO to stay within ±6.98% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.98%

Exp. Move $

±$27.02

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$360.07 — $414.13

80% Confidence

$352.46 — $421.74

90% Confidence

$342.64 — $431.56

95% Confidence

$334.13 — $440.07

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 50.41% implies a ±6.98% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $360.07 to $414.13.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.