Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AMD

AMD implied volatility is at 103.15%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AMD is trading at $476.75 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 103.15%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Aug 7, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 31, 2026

Target Date

Aug 7, 2026

Price

$476.75

103.15%

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 103.15% × √(7/365) ≈ 14.28%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$68.08.

The market expects AMD to stay within ±14.28% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±14.28%

Exp. Move $

±$68.08

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$408.65 — $544.85

80% Confidence

$389.47 — $564.03

90% Confidence

$364.73 — $588.77

95% Confidence

$343.27 — $610.23

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.