Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR

PLTR implied volatility is at 51.52%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

PLTR is trading at $122.89 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 51.52%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$122.89

IV

51.52%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 51.52% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.14%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$8.77.

The market expects PLTR to stay within ±7.14% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.14%

Exp. Move $

±$8.77

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$114.12 — $131.66

80% Confidence

$111.65 — $134.13

90% Confidence

$108.47 — $137.31

95% Confidence

$105.70 — $140.08

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 51.52% implies a ±7.14% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $114.12 to $131.66.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.