Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU

MU implied volatility is at 106.27%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

MU is trading at $912.00 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 106.27%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$912.00

IV

106.27%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 106.27% × √(7/365) ≈ 14.72%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$134.25.

The market expects MU to stay within ±14.72% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±14.72%

Exp. Move $

±$134.25

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$777.78 — $1046.22

80% Confidence

$739.99 — $1084.01

90% Confidence

$691.23 — $1132.77

95% Confidence

$648.93 — $1175.07

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 106.27% implies a ±14.72% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $777.78 to $1046.22.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.