Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 31.38%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $319.84 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 31.38%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$319.84

IV

31.38%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 31.38% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.35%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$13.91.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±4.35% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.35%

Exp. Move $

±$13.91

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$305.94 — $333.74

80% Confidence

$302.03 — $337.65

90% Confidence

$296.98 — $342.70

95% Confidence

$292.60 — $347.08

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 31.38% implies a ±4.35% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $305.94 to $333.74.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.