Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 31.73%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $319.40 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 31.73%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$319.40

IV

31.73%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 31.73% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.39%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$14.02.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±4.39% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.39%

Exp. Move $

±$14.02

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$305.37 — $333.43

80% Confidence

$301.41 — $337.39

90% Confidence

$296.31 — $342.49

95% Confidence

$291.89 — $346.91

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 31.73% implies a ±4.39% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $305.37 to $333.43.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.