Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: C

C implied volatility is at 30.43%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

C is trading at $132.01 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 30.43%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$132.01

IV

30.43%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 30.43% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.21%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$5.56.

The market expects C to stay within ±4.21% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.21%

Exp. Move $

±$5.56

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$126.45 — $137.57

80% Confidence

$124.88 — $139.14

90% Confidence

$122.86 — $141.16

95% Confidence

$121.11 — $142.91

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 30.43% implies a ±4.21% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $126.45 to $137.57.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.