Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AMD

AMD implied volatility is at 81.71%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AMD is trading at $521.40 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 81.71%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 31, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 24, 2026

Target Date

Jul 31, 2026

Price

$521.40

IV

81.71%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 81.71% × √(7/365) ≈ 11.32%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$59.02.

The market expects AMD to stay within ±11.32% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±11.32%

Exp. Move $

±$59.02

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$462.40 — $580.40

80% Confidence

$445.79 — $597.01

90% Confidence

$424.35 — $618.45

95% Confidence

$405.76 — $637.04

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 81.71% implies a ±11.32% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $462.40 to $580.40.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.