Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR

PLTR implied volatility is at 47.56%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

PLTR is trading at $126.55 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 47.56%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$126.55

IV

47.56%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 47.56% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.59%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$8.34.

The market expects PLTR to stay within ±6.59% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.59%

Exp. Move $

±$8.34

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$118.21 — $134.89

80% Confidence

$115.87 — $137.23

90% Confidence

$112.84 — $140.26

95% Confidence

$110.21 — $142.89

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 47.56% implies a ±6.59% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $118.21 to $134.89.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.