Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU

MU implied volatility is at 94.56%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

MU is trading at $982.98 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 94.56%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$982.98

IV

94.56%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 94.56% × √(7/365) ≈ 13.09%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$128.67.

The market expects MU to stay within ±13.09% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±13.09%

Exp. Move $

±$128.67

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$854.27 — $1111.70

80% Confidence

$818.02 — $1147.95

90% Confidence

$771.26 — $1194.71

95% Confidence

$730.70 — $1235.27

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 94.56% implies a ±13.09% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $854.27 to $1111.70.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.