Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KO

KO implied volatility is at 18.53%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KO is trading at $83.45 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 18.53%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$83.45

IV

18.53%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 18.53% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.57%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$2.14.

The market expects KO to stay within ±2.57% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±2.57%

Exp. Move $

±$2.14

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$81.31 — $85.59

80% Confidence

$80.71 — $86.19

90% Confidence

$79.93 — $86.97

95% Confidence

$79.25 — $87.65

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 18.53% implies a ±2.57% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $81.31 to $85.59.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.