Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 23.01%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $32.12 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 23.01%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$32.12

IV

23.01%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 23.01% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.19%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$1.02.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±3.19% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.19%

Exp. Move $

±$1.02

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$31.10 — $33.14

80% Confidence

$30.81 — $33.43

90% Confidence

$30.44 — $33.80

95% Confidence

$30.11 — $34.13

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 23.01% implies a ±3.19% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $31.10 to $33.14.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.