Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 80.18%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $109.60 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 80.18%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$109.60

IV

80.18%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 80.18% × √(7/365) ≈ 11.10%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$12.17.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±11.10% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±11.10%

Exp. Move $

±$12.17

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$97.43 — $121.77

80% Confidence

$94.00 — $125.20

90% Confidence

$89.58 — $129.62

95% Confidence

$85.75 — $133.45

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 80.18% implies a ±11.10% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $97.43 to $121.77.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.