Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 29.47%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $357.17 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 29.47%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$357.17

IV

29.47%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 29.47% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.08%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$14.57.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±4.08% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.08%

Exp. Move $

±$14.57

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$342.59 — $371.75

80% Confidence

$338.49 — $375.85

90% Confidence

$333.20 — $381.14

95% Confidence

$328.60 — $385.74

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 29.47% implies a ±4.08% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $342.59 to $371.75.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.