Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 29.06%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $355.05 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 29.06%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$355.05

IV

29.06%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 29.06% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.03%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$14.31.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±4.03% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.03%

Exp. Move $

±$14.31

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$340.76 — $369.34

80% Confidence

$336.73 — $373.37

90% Confidence

$331.54 — $378.56

95% Confidence

$327.04 — $383.06

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 29.06% implies a ±4.03% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $340.76 to $369.34.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.