Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: C

C implied volatility is at 41.91%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

C is trading at $140.99 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 41.91%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$140.99

IV

41.91%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 41.91% × √(7/365) ≈ 5.80%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$8.18.

The market expects C to stay within ±5.80% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±5.80%

Exp. Move $

±$8.18

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$132.81 — $149.18

80% Confidence

$130.51 — $151.48

90% Confidence

$127.53 — $154.45

95% Confidence

$124.95 — $157.03

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 41.91% implies a ±5.80% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $132.81 to $149.18.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.