Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO

AVGO implied volatility is at 47.70%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AVGO is trading at $400.39 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 47.70%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$400.39

IV

47.70%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 47.70% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.61%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$26.47.

The market expects AVGO to stay within ±6.61% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.61%

Exp. Move $

±$26.47

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$373.94 — $426.84

80% Confidence

$366.49 — $434.29

90% Confidence

$356.89 — $443.89

95% Confidence

$348.55 — $452.23

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 47.70% implies a ±6.61% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $373.94 to $426.84.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.