Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AMD

AMD implied volatility is at 73.63%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AMD is trading at $559.90 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 73.63%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jul 17, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 10, 2026

Target Date

Jul 17, 2026

Price

$559.90

IV

73.63%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 73.63% × √(7/365) ≈ 10.20%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$57.11.

The market expects AMD to stay within ±10.20% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±10.20%

Exp. Move $

±$57.11

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$502.81 — $616.99

80% Confidence

$486.74 — $633.06

90% Confidence

$466.00 — $653.80

95% Confidence

$448.01 — $671.79

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 73.63% implies a ±10.20% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $502.81 to $616.99.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.