Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR

PLTR implied volatility is at 57.88%. We break down the 6-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

PLTR is trading at $129.78 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 57.88%.

With 6 days to expiration (Target: Jul 10, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 4, 2026

Target Date

Jul 10, 2026

Price

$129.78

IV

57.88%

Volatility Math (6 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 6-day timeframe.

Formula: 57.88% × √(6/365) ≈ 7.42%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$9.63.

The market expects PLTR to stay within ±7.42% about 68% of the time over the next 6 days.

Time Factor

0.1282

Exp. Move %

±7.42%

Exp. Move $

±$9.63

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$120.15 — $139.41

80% Confidence

$117.44 — $142.12

90% Confidence

$113.94 — $145.62

95% Confidence

$110.90 — $148.66

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 57.88% implies a ±7.42% move in 6 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $120.15 to $139.41.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.