Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 26.35%. We break down the 6-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $31.82 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 26.35%.

With 6 days to expiration (Target: Jul 10, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 4, 2026

Target Date

Jul 10, 2026

Price

$31.82

IV

26.35%

Volatility Math (6 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 6-day timeframe.

Formula: 26.35% × √(6/365) ≈ 3.38%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$1.08.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±3.38% about 68% of the time over the next 6 days.

Time Factor

0.1282

Exp. Move %

±3.38%

Exp. Move $

±$1.08

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$30.74 — $32.90

80% Confidence

$30.44 — $33.20

90% Confidence

$30.05 — $33.59

95% Confidence

$29.71 — $33.93

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 26.35% implies a ±3.38% move in 6 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $30.74 to $32.90.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.