Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 103.15%. We break down the 6-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $120.94 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 103.15%.

With 6 days to expiration (Target: Jul 10, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 4, 2026

Target Date

Jul 10, 2026

Price

$120.94

IV

103.15%

Volatility Math (6 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 6-day timeframe.

Formula: 103.15% × √(6/365) ≈ 13.23%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$16.00.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±13.23% about 68% of the time over the next 6 days.

Time Factor

0.1282

Exp. Move %

±13.23%

Exp. Move $

±$16.00

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$104.95 — $136.93

80% Confidence

$100.44 — $141.44

90% Confidence

$94.63 — $147.25

95% Confidence

$89.59 — $152.29

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 103.15% implies a ±13.23% move in 6 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $104.95 to $136.93.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.