Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 36.59%. We break down the 6-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $359.07 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 36.59%.

With 6 days to expiration (Target: Jul 10, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 4, 2026

Target Date

Jul 10, 2026

Price

$359.07

IV

36.59%

Volatility Math (6 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 6-day timeframe.

Formula: 36.59% × √(6/365) ≈ 4.69%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$16.84.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±4.69% about 68% of the time over the next 6 days.

Time Factor

0.1282

Exp. Move %

±4.69%

Exp. Move $

±$16.84

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$342.23 — $375.92

80% Confidence

$337.48 — $380.66

90% Confidence

$331.36 — $386.78

95% Confidence

$326.06 — $392.09

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 36.59% implies a ±4.69% move in 6 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $342.23 to $375.92.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.