Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 35.73%. We break down the 6-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $355.11 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 35.73%.

With 6 days to expiration (Target: Jul 10, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 4, 2026

Target Date

Jul 10, 2026

Price

$355.11

IV

35.73%

Volatility Math (6 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 6-day timeframe.

Formula: 35.73% × √(6/365) ≈ 4.58%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$16.26.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±4.58% about 68% of the time over the next 6 days.

Time Factor

0.1282

Exp. Move %

±4.58%

Exp. Move $

±$16.26

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$338.85 — $371.38

80% Confidence

$334.27 — $375.96

90% Confidence

$328.36 — $381.87

95% Confidence

$323.23 — $386.99

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 35.73% implies a ±4.58% move in 6 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $338.85 to $371.38.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.