Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO

AVGO implied volatility is at 54.31%. We break down the 6-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AVGO is trading at $361.98 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 54.31%.

With 6 days to expiration (Target: Jul 10, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jul 4, 2026

Target Date

Jul 10, 2026

Price

$361.98

IV

54.31%

Volatility Math (6 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 6-day timeframe.

Formula: 54.31% × √(6/365) ≈ 6.96%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$25.19.

The market expects AVGO to stay within ±6.96% about 68% of the time over the next 6 days.

Time Factor

0.1282

Exp. Move %

±6.96%

Exp. Move $

±$25.19

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$336.77 — $387.19

80% Confidence

$329.67 — $394.29

90% Confidence

$320.52 — $403.44

95% Confidence

$312.57 — $411.39

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 54.31% implies a ±6.96% move in 6 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $336.77 to $387.19.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.