Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR

PLTR implied volatility is at 50.64%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

PLTR is trading at $131.41 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 50.64%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 20, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 13, 2026

Target Date

Feb 20, 2026

Price

$131.41

IV

50.64%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 50.64% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.01%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$9.21.

The market expects PLTR to stay within ±7.01% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.01%

Exp. Move $

±$9.21

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$122.19 — $140.63

80% Confidence

$119.60 — $143.22

90% Confidence

$116.25 — $146.57

95% Confidence

$113.35 — $149.47

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 50.64% implies a ±7.01% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $122.19 to $140.63.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.