Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU

MU implied volatility is at 67.03%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

MU is trading at $411.66 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 67.03%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 20, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 13, 2026

Target Date

Feb 20, 2026

Price

$411.66

IV

67.03%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 67.03% × √(7/365) ≈ 9.28%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$38.20.

The market expects MU to stay within ±9.28% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±9.28%

Exp. Move $

±$38.20

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$373.44 — $449.88

80% Confidence

$362.67 — $460.65

90% Confidence

$348.80 — $474.52

95% Confidence

$336.76 — $486.56

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 67.03% implies a ±9.28% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $373.44 to $449.88.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.