Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 22.38%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $32.32 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 22.38%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 20, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 13, 2026

Target Date

Feb 20, 2026

Price

$32.32

IV

22.38%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 22.38% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.10%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$1.00.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±3.10% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.10%

Exp. Move $

±$1.00

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$31.32 — $33.32

80% Confidence

$31.04 — $33.60

90% Confidence

$30.67 — $33.97

95% Confidence

$30.36 — $34.28

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 22.38% implies a ±3.10% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $31.32 to $33.32.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.