Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 29.94%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $305.72 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 29.94%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 20, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 13, 2026

Target Date

Feb 20, 2026

Price

$305.72

IV

29.94%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 29.94% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.15%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$12.69.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±4.15% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.15%

Exp. Move $

±$12.69

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$293.04 — $318.40

80% Confidence

$289.47 — $321.97

90% Confidence

$284.87 — $326.57

95% Confidence

$280.87 — $330.57

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 29.94% implies a ±4.15% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $293.04 to $318.40.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.