Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 29.58%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $306.02 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 29.58%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 20, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 13, 2026

Target Date

Feb 20, 2026

Price

$306.02

IV

29.58%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 29.58% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.10%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$12.55.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±4.10% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.10%

Exp. Move $

±$12.55

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$293.49 — $318.55

80% Confidence

$289.95 — $322.09

90% Confidence

$285.40 — $326.64

95% Confidence

$281.45 — $330.59

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 29.58% implies a ±4.10% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $293.49 to $318.55.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.