Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO

AVGO implied volatility is at 48.62%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AVGO is trading at $325.17 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 48.62%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 20, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 13, 2026

Target Date

Feb 20, 2026

Price

$325.17

IV

48.62%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 48.62% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.73%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$21.88.

The market expects AVGO to stay within ±6.73% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.73%

Exp. Move $

±$21.88

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$303.28 — $347.06

80% Confidence

$297.10 — $353.24

90% Confidence

$289.16 — $361.18

95% Confidence

$282.26 — $368.08

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 48.62% implies a ±6.73% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $303.28 to $347.06.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.