Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR

PLTR implied volatility is at 57.02%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

PLTR is trading at $135.90 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 57.02%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$135.90

IV

57.02%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 57.02% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.90%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$10.74.

The market expects PLTR to stay within ±7.90% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.90%

Exp. Move $

±$10.74

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$125.17 — $146.63

80% Confidence

$122.14 — $149.66

90% Confidence

$118.25 — $153.55

95% Confidence

$114.87 — $156.93

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 57.02% implies a ±7.90% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $125.17 to $146.63.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.